Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.171215 0.245038 0.328979 0.429194 0.543583 0.668386 0.813273
2025-11-09 0.060760 0.140517 0.250307 0.398733 0.583994 0.799881 1.063780
2025-11-16 0.016117 0.080021 0.191277 0.359836 0.585188 0.859856 1.206618
2025-11-23 0.001976 0.049048 0.160267 0.347684 0.612431 0.945911 1.376414
2025-11-30 NaN 0.033765 0.147304 0.355934 0.662516 1.057312 1.574344
2025-12-07 NaN 0.019901 0.129155 0.351699 0.692657 1.141518 1.737582
2025-12-14 NaN 0.008574 0.106495 0.334854 0.701736 1.196294 1.862582
2025-12-21 NaN 0.006678 0.110078 0.363127 0.775905 1.336394 2.094787
2025-12-28 NaN 0.005254 0.114149 0.391992 0.850917 1.477734 2.328824
2026-01-04 NaN 0.003038 0.111538 0.407465 0.905558 1.591800 2.528312
2026-01-11 NaN 0.003001 0.121160 0.446834 0.996562 1.754920 2.790628
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002328 0.125768 0.476210 1.072404 1.897779 3.027322
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000660 0.118055 0.482025 1.115004 1.999871 3.217602
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.092448 0.446795 1.092518 2.013248 3.294499
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.067813 0.406113 1.057353 2.006437 3.342972
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.056316 0.392977 1.064958 2.057706 3.465921
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.053447 0.401822 1.108985 2.160142 3.656027
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.046439 0.397294 1.129674 2.229172 3.801948
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.036135 0.379318 1.125839 2.262439 3.900032
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.040413 0.409479 1.206804 2.417966 4.160950
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.044877 0.440203 1.288811 2.575098 4.424164
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.045093 0.456646 1.345658 2.696048 4.639357
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.052860 0.498407 1.447275 2.881670 4.940811